Tuesday, February 28, 2023

Behemoth B-Max && Behemoth Seppuku: Rifters Behemoth by Peter Watts




I love the author's biology babble because it is well-grounded in hard science. But the Internet stuff (Maelstrom) is poorly researched.  The characters continue into new character arcs as they grow in their hero's journeys.  I was a little confused at the end.  Very thrilling and enjoyable read, 4/5 Stars.

Sunday, February 26, 2023

Wayward Galaxy 5 by Jason Anspach & J N Chaney


Disappointing.  The dialog, especially by the Brody character, is flat and no longer funny.  The story and love interest was ok and I liked the ending 3/5 Stars.

Thursday, February 23, 2023

The Man Who Solved the Market by Gary Zuckerman


I became curious about Jim Simons when I heard Brian Keating talk about him recently so I read this book.  The last few chapters are very good and extremely worthwhile.  I learned a lot about what Finance Quants have been doing since 2018 as well as the bizarre politics and polarization during the Trump presidency. I appreciate the author's balanced and objective approach to telling each person's story.  However, everyone in the book without exception is a terrible human being, even Jim Simons.  And it seems all of the leaders involved in the ecosystem of trading stocks, bonds, and derivatives are terrible. 3/5 Stars.

Swann's War by Michael Oren


I am a big fan of Dr. Oren's history books so when I saw this one in the library I grabbed it.  The story is interesting and good; the mystery is ok, not that great.  I love the historical context and setting. 3/5 Stars.

Monday, February 20, 2023

Roadkill by Dennis E Taylor (Audio book)

The Bobiverse author has a few new books out since he wrote The Singularity Trap and I was not keeping up.  This short audiobook was fun and the voice acting was great.  The snarky, sarcastic "Marvin" trope character was well done. Aside: I have been reading a lot of books with this trope recently.  The magic system had lots of rough edges and the ending appeared condensed and rushed.  But it was still fun.  Good voice acting makes a big difference. 4/5 Stars.

Sunday, February 19, 2023

Which Cognitive Bias is this one?

https://smbc.comic-com
The list of 150 Cognitive biases has several that cover this common tendency.  I am curious which of the bias best describes this issue and what approaches academics are taking to mitigate the issues.

Saturday, February 18, 2023

Will the ESG descend into insignificance?


Will the Evil Search Giant (ESG) descend into insignificance?

If you have time, read Praveen's analysis. Here is my own personal experience using G's consumer products:


I can no longer find anything in Google Search and I have changed my default search engine. I still use google scholar but may switch to specialty sites for scholarly articles as scholar, too, decays into uselessness..


Youtube's ads, censorship, and recommendations have made the platform unusable. I spend 75% less time on youtube and consume more video content from other sources. 


I started using proton.me more and Gmail less. I shall almost certainly switch web site hosting.


Alternatives to the Chrome browser, especially FireFox & Brave are becoming much better every day. I am using Brave more. I already use Firefox on mobile.


I still use  Docs, Sheets, Slides, etc. but I am getting better at Word, Excel, PowerPoint all the time and may switch my personal consumer office apps.


None of Google's video or text chat apps (Buzz? Friend-Connect? Orkut? G+? Hangouts? Jabber? Wave? GVoice? Duo? Meet? GChat?) has never worked. My personal favorite was GrandCentral because it had fax.   Google Meet in particular limits free-tier video calls to a short time and does not work for some folks. Signal is unlimited and works for everyone all the time on all devices. My family and friends have all switched to Signal or Zoom for personal video conferences.  Ten years ago, I lamented the fall of Skype and wrote great things about Hangouts (which was awesome at that time). Now, Skype is making another comeback and will (easily) eclipse  Meet unless the mouse can find its way out of the maze.








Iran: A Modern History by Abbas Amanat

I frequently lament my choices in books to read, especially history books. This thousand-page detailed account of the last 350 years of Iran's history falls squarely into that category.  Most of the last third of the book (mid 20th century to present) is interesting and valuable to understand the current politics and social dynamics of the region today.  The detailed history of poetry, literature, film, art, and culture surrounding the secular, religious, social, and political dynamics is just too much and I do *not* recommend the book for light reading.  I did learn a lot, though. The political and religious dynamics of the Khomeni reign of terror was particularly interesting and the 21st century (contemporary) details are fantastic background to understand the current revolution and why it will succeed. 2/5 Stars.

Friday, February 17, 2023

Best Places to Work in 2023


GlassDoor has published their Best Places to Work report.   As many of the usual winners, including LinkedIn, Meta, Salesforce, DocuSign, & Intuitive have fallen off the "winners" list, CrowdStrike has quietly crept up the list and is now recognized among the top employers.

The Global-5000 businesses have realized they must "buy from the best or be breached like the rest," CrowdStrike's share price has also started quietly to move up.


Thursday, February 16, 2023

Moon Dust as an earth cooling Parasol?


(cumulative attenuation from a monodisperse cloud of particles with total mass Mcloud = 109 kg at


https://journals.plos.org/climate/article?id=10.1371/journal.pclm.0000133

Some of my fellow Gerry's Kids have published a study of how we can cool down the earth with moon dust.  The idea is based on the High Frontier. Throw some construction robots and bulldozers at the moon; the bots set up and maintain solar collectors, mass drivers (magnetic rail guns) and dust factories.  Once deployed, the rail guns shoot 10^10 kg of very fine (100 nm) dust particles at L1  or into an orbit that lingers near L1. The dust reduces sunlight by 1.8%.  Cool the earth.  In the future, we will vacuum up the dust for space habitat construction.

Almost all of the geoengineering methods I have seen (Termination Shock is a fun book!) do not solve the critical problem of reaching zero CO2 emission and then going negative (sequestering CO2) to mitigate ocean acidification, and other deleterious effects of too much CO2.  Humans put almost 3.6% of all new CO2 into the atmosphere and when volcanism has some quiet times, our contribution can go up to almost 4%.



Children of Ruin by Adrian Tchaikovsky


This is a fun story and a great sequel. Very entertaining, 5/5 Stars.

Wednesday, February 15, 2023

Thinking in Systems by Donella Meadows

Thinking in Systems:
My friend Senthil asks for and shares book recommendations with me.  His 2022 list included this title so I added it to the (large) queue of "holds" at my local library. (Aside: Here is proof my library is better than yours.)  I had low expectations because the book was revised by others after Donella's untimely death and is now over 20 years old.  My fear of the sharp political slant was somewhat unfounded. The book really does make the reader sit back and think. The methods described can expand our horizons to overcome some instinctive cognitive biases.  We can use the simple approaches of the book to see many phenomena from a broader point of view. I enjoyed the book and recommend it. 4/5 Stars.

Friday, February 10, 2023

Renegades (Expeditionary Force book 7) by Craig Alanson


The cliffhangers and complexity are getting a little too much for disbelief suspension but the story is otherwise enjoyable. 4/5 Stars.

Wednesday, February 8, 2023

Sense in Truth and Truth in Virtue


(Maat, 2375 BCE)

The title of this post comes from Shakespeare (Measure for Measure) but the epistemological concepts are much older and more complex.  The spectacular rise of large language models such as chatGPT and their capability to generate mindless babble has further clouded our access to objective truth. These language models cannot determine truth but the prose they generate pompously asserts some random notions from their training set that the models predict will satisfy the prompt.  Fake news, alternative facts, and clever lies have never been easier.

But what about search engines with instant answers?  Does duckduckgo, bing, or google generate "truth" when asked similar questions?  After all, these answers are curated by humans, right?  It turns out the humans are just as bad and sometimes worse.

The Rabbit Hole

I became curious about the origin of the concept that "virtue is its own reward."  I asked the internet search engines, "Who first wrote virtue is its own reward and in which publication did it appear?" The most common answer was Cicero with no cited publication.  (If you care, Cicero wrote it in De Finibus Moralibus (On Moral Ends).) But reading Cicero, it is obvious Cicero is citing the Greeks (He mis-cites Epicurus instead of the stoic who wrote it) for these ideas and a tiny bit of digging reveals Aristotle expressed the concept that virtue is its own reward earlier. Going further back, we find Xenophon wrote "εὐδαιμονία ἑαυτῆς τὸ μισθὸν ἐστίν" (virtue is its own reward).  Anaximander (the earliest published Greek philosopher), wrote about virtue in "για τη φύση" (On Nature). He wrote that virtue brings harmony, balance, and justice.  Other than eventually leading to happiness, virtue is not its own reward.  So Xenophon wins, right?  Winner winner chicken dinner!

But wait, these are just the Greeks.  What about earlier writings by the ancient Chinese, ancient Egyptians, or ancient Indians?  Confucious (Classic of Filial Piety) was no earlier than 206 BCE. The ancient Indian writings apparently have no reliable dates but historians think the oldest record of this concept is 200 BCE. The famous Egyption Book of the Dead, first inscribed on scarabs in 1650 BCE does have the notion that maat (virtue) is the reward for virtuous behavior. So this reference is the oldest.  Finally!

So the oldest published expression of the notion is ancient Egyptian, but the author  is unknown.  And the oldest cited philosopher is Xenophon.

Why are we forbidden from discovering the answer to this simple question?  Why are the search engines and chat bots all lying to us?

Garbage in Garbage Out

Inaccurate information is rampant on the internet.  Search engines and chatbots powered by large language models consume these lies. It should therefore be no surprise that these search engines and chatbots end up spitting out patently false answers in response to our questions. This phenomenon is especially concerning given the widespread use of search engines and chatbots in everyday life, from providing customer service to helping students with homework.

Search engines and large language models are not trained to assess the validity of the content they generate. Instead, they rely on the vast amounts of data on which they train to predict the most likely or relevant response to a given input. If the data crawled by the search engine or in the training set of the model contains false information, the search system or chatbot will emit the same wrong answer.

Confidimus in doctrina (Trust Scholarship)

This issue has been largely overlooked in both the commercial and academic AI communities, as the focus has been on the impressive ad profits and academic accolades these systems generate. We must remember that the accuracy of these results will always be called into question when it comes to determining truth.

It appears search engines and chat bots cannot be used for accurate scholarship. When it comes to determining the truth, we must still rely on scholarship and our own judgment.

From Strength to Strength by Arthur C Brooks


Fantastic book with good scholarship, interesting anecdotes about famous musicians, good evidence-based science, and a very compelling take on Ikigai. 5/5 Stars.  Highly recommended. 

Outland by Dennis E Taylor


I loved the Bobiverse books and was not disappointed by the first book of this new series.  Taylor's treatment of "preppers" and the National Guard in an emergency are much better and more optimistic than most prepper stories.  I found the second band of antagonists poorly motivated and difficult to suspend disbelief. But I loved the story otherwise.  4/5 Stars.

Monday, February 6, 2023

Zero to One by Peter Thiel


Fantastic book.  I wish I had access to this information when I had my own startup. There are brilliant insights into the obvious phenomenon of power law dominance in many areas to which business leaders and finance professionals are blind.There are many dense pearls of wisdom. 5/5 Stars.

Sunday, February 5, 2023

Mavericks by Craig Alanson


Fun adventures, great space opera. 4/5 Stars.

Ikigai by HectorGarcia & Francesc Miralles


This book is quite horrible, especially the last third.  I skimmed through and put it down. 0/5 Stars.

Wednesday, February 1, 2023

Children of Time by Adrian Tchaikovsky


Great story, well-crafted. 5/5 Stars

KTF part 1 by Nick ole & Jason Anspach


The long, meandering threads of the Galaxy's Edge books are starting to coalesce as some big reveals and fun adventures play out. 4/5 Stars.